Key points, adapted from the 3rd and 4th National Climate Assessments:
Despite extensive human engineering of Earth’s resources, our economy and culture continue to depend on natural ecosystem services for food, timber, clean water, and more.
Species and ecosystems are experiencing significant and observable impacts from climate change. Local and global extinctions may occur when climate change outpaces the capacity of species to adapt to new conditions.
Climate change is altering ecosystem productivity, exacerbating the spread of invasive species, and changing how species interact with each other and with their environment. These changes are reconfiguring ecosystems in unprecedented ways.
Adaptation strategies that are flexible and responsive to evolving needs and are coordinated across landscape scales are progressing from theory to application. Significant challenges remain to incorporate comprehensive climate adaptation planning into natural resource management.
The most robust approach to helping fish, wildlife, and plants adapt to climate change is to conserve enough variety and sufficient habitat to sustain diverse and healthy populations.
The value of ecosystems
From large-scale agriculture, to massive dams and reservoirs, to managed fire regimes dating back thousands of years, humans have transformed the planet by engineering Earth’s physical and biological systems to better serve our needs and desires. Even with these transformations, however, humans continue to depend on the life-sustaining benefits and services provided by natural environments.
The benefits and services we receive from natural ecosystems underpin our economy by providing food, jobs, building materials, medicines, clean water, outdoor recreation, and wildlife habitat, while also protecting our communities from extreme events such as flooding, storm-surge, drought, heat waves, and wildfire.
Economists and natural resource managers have tried to put a price tag on some of these services—timber, seafood, tourism, water purification—while the economic value of others—biodiversity, cultural or tribal identity, quality of life—remains conceptual. By one estimate, the total global value of ecosystem services has been valued at between $125–145 trillion per year (based on 2007 US dollars).
As the climate changes, it will influence the distribution, extent, and composition of ecosystems, and hence affect the spectrum of services and economic value they provide. Society’s choices of what actions to take in the face of climate change can either make it harder or easier for ecosystems to continue to provide the goods and services we require. Effective action by resource managers, communities, and the public is both possible and essential.
This introduction is abridged from the report National Fish, Wildlife, and Plants Climate Adaptation Strategy, Section 1.3.3 and 1.3.4.
Climate change impacts on ecosystems
Across much of the United States, spring is starting earlier in the year relative to 20th-century averages. In some cases, these changes lead to resource mismatches and changes in species interactions. Climate change is also leading to large-scale shifts in the range and abundance of species, which are altering terrestrial, freshwater, and marine ecosystems. Unfortunately, species and ecosystems are already contending with multiple other environmental stresses, such as habitat loss, pollution, invasive species, and over-harvesting. The cumulative effect of these multiple stressors, in concert with a rapidly changing climate, is expected to disrupt ecosystem processes and services, and increase the risk of species extinctions.
Species respond to climate change in different ways and at different rates. This diversity in responses increases the likelihood that important interconnections that have evolved over millennia—such as between pollinators and the flowers they fertilize, or breeding birds and the insects on which they feed—will be disrupted and fail. In addition, the confounding effects of other stressors such as land use change and pollution may hinder or prevent innate adaptive responses.
As climate conditions exceed the historical range of variability under which our current ecosystems function, it is likely that key ecological thresholds or tipping points will be surpassed. Recent studies indicate that ecosystems as diverse as western North American forests and Caribbean coral reefs are increasingly vulnerable to transformative ecological change.
The preceding text is excerpted and abridged from Climate-Smart Conservation: Putting Adaptation Principles into Practice, Chapter 1, Section 1.
Georgakakos, A., P. Fleming, M. Dettinger, C. Peters-Lidard, Terese (T.C.) Richmond, K. Reckhow, K. White, and D. Yates, 2014: Ch. 3: Water Resources. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment, J.M. Melillo, Terese (T.C.) Richmond, and G. W. Yohe, Eds., U.S. Global Change Research Program, 69–112. doi:10.7930/J0G44N6T, and
1. Costanza, R., R. de Groot, P. Sutton, S. van der Ploeg, S. Anderson, I. Kubiszewski, S. Farber, and R.K. Turner, 2014: Changes in the global value of ecosystem services. Global Environmental Change, 26, 152–158.
To learn more about the impacts of climate change and variability on ecosystem vulnerability, visit the subtopic pages: